What Putin Really Wants
And Why We Cannot Give It to Him

17.01.25 • By Jakub Janda

Satisfying Kremlin demands means sacrificing what made America great

It appears that the West is moving toward “a deal” with Russia, so let’s have a look at what Moscow really wants and what the consequences would be. Knowing your adversary is the best way to win any contest.
In speaking about the Russian Federation, we mean the autocratic regime of Vladimir Putin. Having been under his rule for almost 17 years, freedom of speech is worse than in Zimbabwe or South Sudan: political opponents are shot, journalists are assassinated, history is falsified (even by state laws and repressive means), and most of the major media outlets are effectively commanded by the regime. Incoming National Security Advisor Mike Flynn was right when he said, “Putin is a totalitarian dictator and a thug who does not have our interests in mind.”
Putin’s core interest is clear: he wants to stay in power as long as possible. He suppresses his domestic opposition—from both political groups and independent media—because he has failed to deliver a solid standard of living for ordinary Russians. Russia has a lower GDP than Italy, and its average wages are lower than in Romania. As the Russian economic situation worsens, there are fears among the kleptocratic elite that citizens will begin to be dissatisfied by the regime.
That’s precisely why Putin assaulted Ukraine by invading and illegally occupying Ukrainian land in Crimea and waging war in Eastern Ukraine. He is afraid that Ukraine might start adopting European standards of governance, and eventually see economic benefits from transforming from a post-Soviet economic system. A successful Ukraine with high governance and high standard of living is a nightmare for the Kremlin. If ordinary Russians saw Ukraine doing better than Russia, the general population might start questioning Russia’s autocratic rule, which isn’t delivering in economic or social terms. With this in mind, Moscow tries to sabotage the efforts of Ukraine to turn itself into a successful country. For example, Russia does this by waging (limited, but still) war against Ukraine. Obviously, this aim will take a long time and many setbacks are to be expected.

The new U.S. administration comes with a “deal-making” narrative, basically arguing that we should listen to Putin’s interests and proposals. If you follow Moscow’s actions since its occupation of Georgian territory in 2008, it’s not hard to guess what Russia really wants.
First, Putin wants Western sanctions to be lifted as soon as possible. Those sanctions were put on Russia after its aggressive invasion into Ukraine, which is why Kremlin officials brag about them almost daily. This classic foreign policy tool has shown Western resolve and unity, so Moscow sees that if it took even one step further, it would be punished harder. If Donald Trump manages to negotiate a retreat of all the Kremlin soldiers, intelligence officers and weapons from Eastern Ukraine, it would provide a perfect reason to lift sanctions related to the Russian involvement in that part of the region. It would be a clear win for the West—and anything other than this would be a defeat for American and European interests. There are other sanctions related to Russian occupation of Ukrainian land in Crimea—however, it is highly unlikely that Putin will roll back from Crimea now, so those sanctions will probably stay in place for a while. If the U.S. lifted the sanctions for anything less than a Russian retreat from the foreign territories it currently occupies by force, it would be basically be a sell-out of the rule-based international order.
Second, Moscow practically calls for a new Yalta agreement. It wants to have its “zone of influence” guaranteed and acknowledged. This essentially means that selected countries in Russia’s neighborhood—primarily Ukraine—would be denied to be sovereign states. They would be denied a chance to join the EU or NATO in the future and their citizens would not be allowed to choose what they want to do with their own country. I personally come from a country that saw big powers get behind the 1938 Munich Agreement to force Czechoslovakia to give up its own land. This is what a new “zone of influence” would mean for parts of the Eastern European region. Russia has no right to decide for foreign countries what they want to do with their future. If any Western leader wishes to formally grant Moscow that power over its neighbors, it is nothing else than appeasement. We all know what happened after Western allies gave “a totalitarian dictator” everything he wanted at that time. It would not only be a huge moral defeat, but, realistically, it would be an open invitation for more Russian aggression. You cannot put out fire with oil.
Third, the Kremlin wants the West to stop supporting democratic civil society in the Eurasian region. The Moscow ruling elite sees it as a direct threat to its existence because they know that citizens who know their rights and are not afraid to confront kleptocratic authoritarians are the biggest threat to the comfortable rule of power. That’s why journalists, opposition leaders, civic activists and freedom of speech in general are oppressed in Russia. If the West accepted ceasing its support for pro-democratic citizens anywhere across Eurasia, it would be just another form of appeasement over autocracy. Obviously, nobody is calling for coups orchestrated by the West, but it is only natural for rich democracies to mildly support anybody who is oppressed in this region.

17.07.10 KyivPost.com Stoltenberg says NATO never to recognize Crimea annexation: NATO will never recognize the illegal annexation of Ukraine’s Crimean Peninsula by the Russian Federation, NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg said in his opening remarks at the meeting of the NATO-Ukraine Commission in Kyiv

Four, Putin wants to be seen as a historical figure who returned Russia’s allegedly deserved glory. Nobody would argue with this if it meant making the country an economically blossoming state with strong democratic rules that are obeyed. This is something Putin could have tried to bring to his country during his nearly 20-year rule, but he did not. Unfortunately for Moscow, it means that the world needs to be afraid of Russia—that’s what the Kremlin believes respect is. We simply are in a zero-sum game. If Russia bullies countries in Eastern Europe, it doesn’t get friendship or love, but resistance and disdain.
If the West wants to satisfy Putin’s demands, it cannot do so without handing over things we hold dear: state sovereignty, the right of any nation to choose its own path despite wishes of its bigger neighbor, and freedom of speech. Those are the things that have made America great, and you cannot make it great again if you give up on the values that are the cornerstone of the current Western world. Because, yes, things can get much worse, just as they did after 1938 when Western leaders made some really bad decisions.


But there is also “alternativEnglish” BRexit for BRENTER

17.07.11 vectornews.eu NATO Secretary-Generalcalls on Russia to stop supporting militants in eastern Ukraine: NATO has said on multiple occasions that Russia should pull forces out of eastern Ukraine, stop supporting the militants operating in that area, and end any attempts to destabilize Ukraine by means of cyber attacks, which is an element of hybrid warfare, Stoltenberg said.
Russia must stop supporting illegal armed groups in eastern Ukraine,
NATO Chief: Allies, Russia disagree on Ukrainian crisis,

17.03.08 VOAnews.com Topix.com Trump to Ask Merkel's Advice on Putin, Ukraine - US Officials "We are heartened by the German government's determination to reach NATO's benchmark of committing 2 percent of GDP to defense by 2024,"the official said.

16.12.21 InformNapalm Complements information of Military Prosecutor’s Office
16.11.27 Censor.NET reported that Military Prosecutor’s Office of Ukraine has identified units and equipment of Russian Armed Forces that participated in occupation of Crimea. Prosecutor Ruslan Kravchenko provided this information to Censor.net.

1854 ) Nationalarchives.gov.uk - Many wars have been fought on grounds of strategic importance of a region; many wars have been fought over religious differences. Crimean War was result of both factors.

By Sara Flounders posted on July 12, 2017
Old preconceptions and terms must be challenged in order to have an accurate view of present international situation. Today’s Russian Federation is a vastly different state - socially, politically, economically and militarily - from Union of Soviet Socialist Republics of even 27 years ago. But US military expenditures are estimated at 36 percent to almost 50 percent of total global military expenditures. Russia's expenditures are 4 to 5 percent of global total. There is an insatiable drive to control Russia's great wealth by largest banks and corporations. Economic sanctions imposed by U.S. and EU at this time were specifically designed to hit Russia in its energy sector, where country is most vulnerable...

Explained: Ukraine’s Case Against RF at Hague. Analyzing evidence presented by Ukraine accusing of supporting “terrorism” Ukraine claims that Russia bears responsibility for these acts of “terrorism” in Donbas through its funding, outfitting, and support of separatist forces. Seven civilians died and more than thirty were injured after Russia-backed separatist forces carried out a bombardment of Kramatorsk on February 10, 2015. An investigation from International Partnership for Human Rights (IPHR) found that thirty-two projectiles were fired from four Smerch systems from separatist-controlled territory. Many of other claims made by Russian representatives are absurd when we consider available open source information, especially claim that Russia has not provided weapons or funds to separatist forces.

European Union External Action to Ukraine Council adopts temporary trade preferences “With today's decision, we are allowing more Ukrainian products to be exported to the EU. It is our duty to support Ukraine and strengthen our economic and political ties, also in the face of the ongoing conflict on its soil."

Quora.com - Return Nuclear Status:
In postwar history, annexation of a part of a sovereign country's territory to aggressor state has no precedent
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Do Kazakhstan and Ukraine have legal right to return nuclear weapon program due to canceling Budapest memorandum assurance?

.com is an online publishing platform developed by Twitter:
Platform is an example of evolved social journalism , having a hybrid collection of amateur and professional people and publications, or exclusive blogs or publishers on Medium and is regularly regarded as a blog host. " Publications " on Medium are distributing hosts that carry articles and blog posts, like a newspaper or magazine .

UkraiNATO Create Army half a Million with an Independent Financial System.
In postwar history, annexation of a part of a sovereign country's territory to aggressor state has no precedent.

Referendum in Ukraine: a Return Nuclear Status!
Russia's aggression against Ukraine has led to RF international isolation, including NATO's suspension of all practical cooperation with Russia. Moscow's takeover of Crimea brazenly defied UN Charter, seizing a part of Ukraine's sovereign territory by military force.

CREATED NEW EURO ARMY:
Annexing a neighboring country’s territory by force, Putin overturned in a single stroke assumptions on which post-Cold War European order has rested.

Top 15 Most Popular Political Websites | ebizmba.com
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- Dailykos.com/blog/EuroKrym -
REFERENDUM IN UKRAINE: A RETURN NUCLEAR STATUS
NEW EURO ARMY an INDEPENDENT FINANCIAL SYSTEM


CBS News.com - Making America's risk of a financial crisis great again
In decades prior to financial crisis, U.S. underwent a period of financial deregulation under assumption that market forces would prevent financial institutions from taking excessive risk. In particular, shadow banking system -- financial institutions that don’t operate as traditional banks -- was lightly regulated...


17.01.22 • Eastern European countries back NATO support against Russia
After Russia annexed Crimean Peninsula in Ukraine three years ago, Obama administration decided to send thousands of American soldiers to Eastern Europe to reinforce its NATO allies. U.S. Ambassador to Poland Paul Jones joins Alison Stewart to discuss ongoing security situation in Europe
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17.01.22 • U.S. NATO troops surge in Europe after Russian aggression
Obama administration sent thousands of American troops to Europe through North Atlantic Treaty Organization in response to Russian aggression -- largest deployment since end of Cold War. It’s a move that has been denounced by Russia. NewsHour Weekend Special Correspondent Christopher Livesay reports from Germany and Poland about military mission.

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17.02.03 forbes.com What U.N. Ambassador Haley's Comment On Russia Really Means by Kenneth Rapoza, Sectoral sanctions impact Russia's most powerful companies and some of its most powerful oligarchs, from Sberbank to Rosneft, run by Vladimir Putin's close associate, Igor Sechin, a man known locally as "Darth Vader". Removal of those sanctions would likely imply that Russia removes counter-sanctions on European agribusiness. Sanctions are dependent on a Russian-Ukraine peace deal signed last year in Minsk, Belarus. Judging be recent fighting in eastern Ukraine, it appears this peace deal is not working for either side.

17.02.03 CNN.com • UN Ambassador Haley hits Russia hard on Ukraine • By Nicole Gaouette and Richard Roth, US ambassador to United Nations offered a strong condemnation of Russia in her first appearance at UN Security Council on Thursday, calling on Moscow to de-escalate violence in eastern Ukraine and saying that US sanctions against Moscow would remain in place until it withdraws from Crimea. "United States continues to condemn and call for an immediate end to Russian occupation of Crimea," said Nikki Haley, President Donald Trump's envoy to world body. "Crimea is a part of Ukraine. Our Crimea-related sanctions will remain in place until Russia returns control over peninsula to Ukraine." Haley was speaking at an emergency UN meeting about a sudden upsurge in violence in eastern Ukraine, where Russian-backed separatists have been fighting Ukrainian army. Her remarks were noTABLE for stark difference between her rhetoric and Trump's...

17.02.02 Politico.com • Haley: Russian sanctions will continue under Trump • by AIDAN QUIGLEY, U.S. ambassador to United Nations Nikki Haley said Thursday Trump administration will continue U.S. sanctions on Russia over its occupation of Crimea. “Crimea is a part of Ukraine,”

16.11.22 europeansanctions.com • Switzerland mirrors EU & US sanctions on Crimean parliamentarians

16.11.16 belsat.eu Hague Tribunal recognizes Crimean annexation as military conflict between Russia and Ukraine: International Criminal Court (ICC) in Hague has recognized annexation of Crimean peninsula as a military conflict between Russia and Ukraine, and a Russian occupation of Ukrainian territory. This is according to annual issued by Prosecutor of Hague-based International Criminal Court, Fatou Bensouda on November 14, 2016.

17.03.09 Informnapalm.org ToInformIstoInfluence.com - Hague ICJ: Russia vs. Ukraine Update – 9 March 2017 Russian play appears to be churning out past propaganda constructs, and this is likely intended for a Russian domestic MSM audience. Russian courtroom play may also be intended to produce a maximum of confusion about material facts in the minds of the jurists in the court. Notable is that the Russians have hired some Western lawyers to argue their case in the ICJ.
YouTube – Ukraine’s Legal Team Rebukes Russia’s Arguments in the Hague.
YouTube – Ukraine's Opening Statement in The Hague Court Against Russia.

17.03.06 ndtv.com France24.com Politico.eu - Boris Johnson: Russia ‘up to all sorts of no good’ “They are engaged in cyber warfare, engaged in undermining countries in the Western Balkans — you have seen what happened in Montenegro — to say nothing of what has happened in eastern Ukraine.”

16.08.10 Independent.co.uk Putin looking for ways ‘justify a war’, Ukraine warns: is looking for ways to justify a war with Ukraine, a spokesman for the country's foreign ministry has said. "Putin wants more war. Russia escalates, desperately looks for casus belli against Ukraine, tests West's reaction," a spokesman for Ukraine's foreign ministry, Dmytro Kuleba, wrote on Twitter ...

But there is also “ITALternative
Mountains Shake - Billions Get:

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- l'Italia risponde alla Ue: "Gli scostamenti dovuti a sisma e migranti" - Repubblica.it
- lʼItalia chiede allʼEuropa 7 miliardi di euro soltanto per il sisma - TGcom24.mediaset.it

Настанет год – России черный год – Когда царей корона упадет, Забудет червь к ним прежнюю любовь,
И пища многих будет смерть и кровь; Когда детей, когда невинных жен Низвергнутый не защитит закон;
Когда чума от смрадных, мертвых тел Начнет бродить среди печальных сел, Чтобы платком из хижин вызывать;
И станет глад сей бедный край терзать, И зарево окрасит волны рек – В тот день явится мощный человек,
И ты его узнаешь – и поймешь, Зачем в руке его булатный нож. И горе для тебя! Твой плач, твой стон
Ему тогда покажется смешон; И будет все ужасно, мрачно в нем, Как плащ его с возвышенным челом.